Preview

GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY

Advanced search

Key drivers in the development of the green economy in the gulf and levant states

https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2026-3945

Abstract

This study identifies the main factors and trends in green economy development across the Gulf and Levant countries and examines their spatial patterns. The environmentally significant processes observed in these countries suggest the possible, though not predetermined, onset of a long-term transition toward more sustainable economies. However, it remains too early to conclude that a genuine transition toward decarbonization is underway. The Gulf and Levant region has long been, and is likely to remain, an important supplier of fossil fuels to the global economy, particularly oil and natural gas. This paper examines the drivers of renewable-energy adoption in the region and identifies two groups of countries with different motivations for this transition, helping to explain this apparent paradox. The study draws on approaches at the intersection of human geography and geoecology, statistical-data visualization, retrospective analysis, and comparative geographical analysis. The studied region presents a wide range of multidirectional trends in the context of agreements to combat global climate change and the implementation of a green economy in various areas. The renewable energy sector is developing dynamically in the Gulf and Levant states. Local countries can be divided into two main groups. The first group includes wealthy countries for which renewable energy is a matter of prestige and an attempt to join the global green agenda. The second group includes poor countries for which renewable energy is a matter of energy security due to the lack of hydrocarbons and other energy resources. The Gulf and Levant states have the potential to develop green and blue hydrogen production on an industrial scale and turn the region into one of the major hydrogen-production hubs. The UAE is the regional leader in expanding green and blue hydrogen production capacity. One of the important components of the modern environmental and economic strategy of the Gulf and Levant countries is attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) into this sector.

About the Authors

D. L. Lopatnikov
Laboratory of World Development Geography, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

29 Staromonetny lane, building 4, Moscow, 119017



T. A. Gladenkova
Laboratory of World Development Geography, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

29 Staromonetny lane, building 4, Moscow



References

1. Abdel-Rahman A. M. M. (2002). The determinants of foreign direct investment in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Economic Research Forum.

2. Adel M. Ghanem and Yosef A. Alamri (2023). The impact of the green Middle East initiative on sustainable development in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Journal of the Saudi Society of Agricultural Sciences, Volume 22, Issue 1, pp. 35-46. DOI: 10.1016/JSSAS202206001.

3. Alekseeva N.N., Bancheva A.I., Grinfeldt Y.S., Petrov L.A., and Tretyachenko D.A. (2024). Estimation of carbon emissions due to land use changes at global and regional levels in foreign studies. Geography and Natural Resources, 1, 15-26. DOI: 10.15372/GIPR20240102 (in Russian with English summary).

4. Bityukova V.R. and Popov A.A. (2015). Ecological consequences of structural shifts in Russian industry in 1990-2014. Ecology and Industry of Russia. 6, 4-10. (in Russian with English summary).

5. Blam I.Y. and Kovalev S.Y. (2020). Low-carbon trend in investment policy: search for effective adaptation mechanisms ECO. 3, 160-176. DOI: 10.30680/ЕСО0131-7652-2020-3-160-176. (in Russian with English summary).

6. Bukvich R.M. and Petrovich D.R. (2017). Greenhouse effect and Market mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol. Vestnik NSTEI, 1 (68), 139-158. (in Russian with English summary).

7. Burima L. Y. (2018). Environmental security of the energy sector as a necessary condition for sustainable development. Vestnik Prikamsky Social Institute, 1 (79), 72-83. (in Russian with English summary).

8. Chen K., Yang M., Zhou X., Liu Z., Li P., Tang J., and Peng C. (2022). Recent advances in carbon footprint studies of urban ecosystems: Overview, application, and future challenges. Environ. Rev.; 30:342–356. DOI: 10.1139/er-2021-0111. https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2021-0111.

9. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Technical Summary. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. - Cambridge; NY: Cambridge University Press, 33- 44. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.002.

10. Druzhinin P. V. and Shkiperova, G. T. (2014). Assessment of the mutual influence of economic and environmental processes. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecasts, 32 (2), 213-224, (in Russian with English summary), DOI: 10.15838/esc/2014.2.32.16.

11. Druzhinin P. V., Shkiperova G. T., and Potasheva O. V. (2018). The ecological curve of the Blacksmith: the case of Russia and Finland. Economics: Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow, 8 (11A), 83-97, (in Russian with English summary).

12. Grossman G. and Krueger A. (1995). Economic growth and the environment, The Quarterly J. of Economics, 110, 353–377. Heinonen J., Ottelin J., Ala-Mantila S., Wiedmann T., Clarke J., and Junnila S. (2020). Spatial consumption-based carbon footprint assessments—A review of recent developments in the field. J. Clean. Prod. 2020;256:120335. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120335.

13. Hertwich E.G. and Peters G.P. (2009). Carbon footprint of nations: A global, trade-linked analysis. Environ. Sci. Technol;43:6414–6420. doi: 10.1021/es803496a.

14. Hossam M.N. (2021). Towards a Green Economy as a tool for sustainable development in developing countries: Egypt as a case study. Master’s thesis.

15. Hua Y. and Dong F. (2022) How can new energy vehicles become qualified relays from the perspective of carbon neutralization? Literature review and research prospect based on the CiteSpace knowledge map. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. ;29:55473–55491. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21096-y.

16. Kaika D. and Zervas, E. (2013) The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory // Energy Policy. . V. 62. P. 1392–1411. 14. Kuznets S. Economic growth and income inequality // American Economic Rev. 1955. V. 45. № 1. P. 1–28.

17. Kondratiev K.Y. and Demirchyan K.S. (2001). Earth’s Climate and the ‘Kyoto Protocol’. Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 71,11. (in Russian with English summary)

18. Kovalev U. U. and Lopatnikov D. L. (2024). Argentina, Brasil y Mexico en el camino hacia la neutralidad climatica // Iberoamérica. 2024, 4. 122–146. (in Spanish with English summary) DOI: 10.37656/s20768400-2024-04-06.

19. Krasnoyarova B.A., Nazarenko A.E., Plutalova T.G., and Sharabarina S.N. (2025). Carbon footprint of agriculture: structure, assessment methods, impact factors Geography and Natural Resources, 1, 164-175. DOI: 10.15372/GIPR20250116 (in Russian with English summary).

20. Kumar R., Karmakar S., Minz A., Singh J., and Kumar A. (2021). Assessment of greenhouse gases emission in maize-wheat cropping system under varied N fertilizer application using cool farm tool // Frontiers in Environmental Science. 9, Article 710108.

21. Le H.P. and Ozturk I. (2020). The impacts of globalization, financial development, government expenditures, and institutional quality on CO2 emissions in the presence of environmental Kuznets curve, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 2680–2269.

22. Le Quere C., Korsbakken J.I., Wilson C., Tosun J., Andrew R., Andres R.J., Canadell J.G., Jordan A., Peters G.P., and van Vuuren D.P. (2019). Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies. Nat. Clim. Changе, (9), 213-217. Lombardi M., Laiola E., Tricase C., and Rana R. (2017). Assessing the urban carbon footprint: An overview. Environ. Impact Assess. Rev. 66: 43–52. DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2017.06.005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2017.06.005

23. Lorente D.B. and Álvarez-Herranz A. (2016). Economic Growth and Energy Regulation in the еnvironmental Kuznets Curve, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2016, vol. 25, p. 16478–94.

24. Lopatnikov D. L. (2013). Ecological transition. Regional studies, 41 (3), 4-8, (in Russian with English summary).

25. Lopatnikov D. L. (2020). Migration of the world center of ecological distress and the «geoecological transition». Proceedings of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Geographical Series, 5, 728-736, (in Russian with English summary), DOI: 10.31857/S2587556620050106.

26. Manual A., Özcan B., and Öztürk I. (еds.) (2019). Environmental Kuznets Curve. Academic Press, 162.

27. Nafadi, M. S. (2017). The green economy as one of the sustainable development mechanisms to attract foreign investment. Scientific Journal of the Trade Sector, 17(1), pp. 640-671.

28. Naveed A., Ahmad N., Zadeh Aghdam R.F., and Menegaki A.N. (2022). What have we learned from еnvironmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis? A citation-based systematic literature review and content analysis, Energy Strategy Reviews, 44, 100946.

29. Pletnev D. A., Popova A. V., and Murashkin S. V. (2022). Economic drivers of decarbonization

30. Rotondo F., Perchinunno P., L’Abbate S., and Mongelli L. (2025). Ecological transition and sustainable development: integrated statistical indicators to support public policies, 2022 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-23085-0 (01.08.2025).

31. Vestnik of Chelyabinsk State University, 4 (462). Economic Sciences, 76, 201-209. DOI: 10.47475/1994-2796-2022-10420 (in Russian with English summary).

32. Quesada B., Arneth A., Robertson E., and de Noblet-Ducoudre N. (2018). Potential strong contribution of future anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change to the terrestrial carbon cycle // Environmental Research Letters, 13, 6, 064023.

33. Shahbaz M. and Sinha A. (2019). Environmental Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions: а literature survey, J. Econ Stud., 2019, vol. 46, p. 106–168.

34. Sykes A.J. (2018). Developing an environmental calculator for application in the beef industry. - Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh School of Geosciences, 315 p.

35. Strokov A.S. (2021). Jemissija parnikovyh gazov pri proizvodstve rastenievodcheskoj produkcii.

36. Tomlinson B., Black R.W., and Patterson D.J. et al. (2024). The carbon emissions of writing and illustrating are lower for AI than for humans. Sci Rep 14, 3732. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-54271-x.

37. Vestn. RAN, 91, 3, 265-272. DOI: 10.31857/S0869587321030099 (in Russian with English summary).

38. Vidican R., Mălinaș A., Moldovan C., Pleșa A., and Ranta M. (2023). Assessment of greenhouse gas emissions from dairy farming using The Cool Farm Tool. Journ. of Applied Life Sciences and Environment, 55, Iss. 3 (191), 323-333.

39. Wright L., Kemp S., and Williams I. (2011). «Carbon footprinting»: towards a universally accepted definition. Carbon Management, 2 (1), 61-72. DOI: 10.4155/cmt.10.39.

40. Wiedmann T., Schandl H., Lenzen M., Moran D., and Kanemoto K. (2013). The material footprint of nations. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 112:6271–6276. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1220362110.

41. Umnov V.A., Korobova O.S., and Skryabina A.A. (2020). Carbon footprint as an indicator of the impact of the economy on the climate system. Vestnik RGGU. Series Economics. Management. Law, 2, 85-93. DOI: 10.28995/2073-6304-2020-2-85-93 (in Russian with English summary).

42. Yandle B., Vijayaraghavan M., and Bhattarai M. (2002). The Environ mental Kuznets Curve: A Primer The Property and Environment Research Center. 2002. PERC Res. Study 02-1.

43. Zhang J. (2021). Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis on CO2 Emissions: Evidence for China, J. of Risk and Financial management, 2021, vol. 14, 93.


Review

For citations:


Lopatnikov D.L., Gladenkova T.A. Key drivers in the development of the green economy in the gulf and levant states. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2026;19(3):6-17. https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2026-3945

Views: 48

JATS XML


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2071-9388 (Print)
ISSN 2542-1565 (Online)