ATMOSPHERIC MODELING FOR ADVANCE WARNING OF WEATHER DISASTERS IN THE BLACK SEA REGION
https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2013-6-4-31-47
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Abstract
Means for operational regional forecast of catastrophic weather events in the Black Sea region are presented. It is shown that the flooding in Krasnodar Region, Russia, July 7, 2012 was predicted five days before the tragic events, and the catastrophic storm of November 11, 2007 off the coast of Crimea was also predicted three days in advance. Quality of the regional forecast and its advantages over the global forecast are discussed. The operational regional modeling of the atmosphere in the Marine Hydrophysical Institute (National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine) could become an important element of a possible early warning system for weather disasters in the Azov-Black Sea region.
About the Authors
Vitaliy IvanovUkraine
Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Sevastopol, Ukraine
Mikhail Shokurov
Ukraine
Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Sevastopol, Ukraine
Vladimir Dulov
Ukraine
Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Sevastopol, Ukraine
Vladimir Kudryavtsev
Russian Federation
Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Sevastopol, Ukraine
Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation
Takvor Soukissian
Greece
Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, Institute of Oceanography, Athens, Greece
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For citations:
Ivanov V., Shokurov M., Dulov V., Kudryavtsev V., Soukissian T. ATMOSPHERIC MODELING FOR ADVANCE WARNING OF WEATHER DISASTERS IN THE BLACK SEA REGION. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2013;6(4):31-47. https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2013-6-4-31-47
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ISSN 2542-1565 (Online)
ISSN 2542-1565 (Online)
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