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SOCIAL RISK AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT OF HAZARDOUS HYDROLOGICAL PHENOMENA IN RUSSIA

https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2014-7-4-95-117

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Abstract

Methods and results of social vulnerability and risk assessment are presented in the article. It is explored if modified methodology of the United Nations University (World risk index) can be used on different scale levels: regional, municipal and settlement. It was estimated that, despite the low value of the World risk index for Russia, southern coastal and mountain regions have high values of the risk index for hydrological phenomena because of higher frequency of the hazardous events, higher population density, and high social vulnerability. The Krasnodar region (in the south-western part of Russia) was chosen for a detailed analysis. A municipal risk index was developed, and municipal districts in the Kuban river
mouth were identified as territories with the highest risk. For verification of the index results, the percentage of vulnerable people was estimated based on opinion polls. The results can be used in further risk calculation for other hazardous phenomena.

About the Authors

Stepan P. Zemtsov
Institute of applied economic research, the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation


Vyacheslav L. Baburin
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography


Klaus P. Koltermann
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography


Inna N. Krylenko
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography


Natalia M. Yumina
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography


Vladimir Yu. Litvinov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography


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For citation:


Zemtsov S.P., Baburin V.L., Koltermann K.P., Krylenko I.N., Yumina N.M., Litvinov V.Y. SOCIAL RISK AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT OF HAZARDOUS HYDROLOGICAL PHENOMENA IN RUSSIA. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2014;7(4):95-117. https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2014-7-4-95-117

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ISSN 2071-9388 (Print)
ISSN 2542-1565 (Online)