CARBON BALANCE OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS UNDER GLOBAL WARMING: LANDSCAPE-ECOLOGICAL PREDICTIVE MODELING

Erland Kolomyts; Gennady Rozenberg; Larisa Sharaya

doi:10.24057/2071-9388-2011-4-1-69-85

CARBON BALANCE OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS UNDER GLOBAL WARMING: LANDSCAPE-ECOLOGICAL PREDICTIVE MODELING

Erland Kolomyts, Gennady Rozenberg, Larisa Sharaya

https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2011-4-1-69-85

Full Text:

PDF (Eng)

Abstract

This paper presents the results of application of landscape-ecological methods for evaluation of biotic regulation of the carbon cycle in forest ecosystems. Methods for constructing analytical and cartographic empirical-statistical models for identification of forest associations and zonal/regional types of forest formations capable of stabilizing the continental biosphere under changing climate are described. Possible biotic regulation of the carbon cycle under known scenarios of future greenhouse warming is suggested. The maps on the carbon content and its changes in the forests of the Oka river basin are presented.

Keywords

ecosystem, biogeocoenoses, climatic changes, empirical statistical modeling, cartographic approach, ecological prediction

About the Authors

Erland Kolomyts

Russian Federation
Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, Komzina str., 10, Togliatti, 445003, Russia

Gennady Rozenberg

Russian Federation
Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, Komzina str., 10, Togliatti, 445003, Russia

Larisa Sharaya

Russian Federation
Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, Komzina str., 10, Togliatti, 445003, Russia

References

1. Aber J., Nelson R.P., Mcnulty St., et al (2001). Forest Processes and Global Environmental Change:

2. Predicting the Effects of Individual and Multiple Stressors // BioScience. V. 51. № 9. P. 735–751.

3. Celniker, Yu.L. (2006). CO2 exchange in forest biogeocoenoses // Concepts of Biocenology

4. In Forest Science. Nauka, Moscow. pp. 213–229 (In Russian).

5. Climate Change 1995 (1996). The Science of Climatic Change / J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira

6. Filho., and B.A. Callander et al. (Eds). The Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK. 572 p.

7. Forman, R.T.T. (1995). Land Mosaics: The Ecology Landscape and Region. Cambridge Univers.

8. Press, Cambridge, UK. 315 р.

9. Glazovskaya, M.A. (1964). Geochemical Fundamentals of Typology and Methodology of

10. Landscape Research. Moscow State University Press, Moscow. 230 p. (in Russian).

11. Gorshkov, V.G. (1994). Physical and biological basis of life stability. Man, Biota, Environment.

12. Springer-Verlag, Berlin. 340 p.

13. Klijn, F. and Udo de Haes, H. (1994). A hierarchical approach to ecosystems and its implication

14. for ecological land classification // Landscape Ecology. V.9. № 2. pp. 89–104.

15. Kolomyts, E.G. (2008). Local mechanisms of global changes in natural ecosystems. Nauka,

16. Moscow. 427 p. (in Russian, Abstract in English, pp. 374–380).

17. Kolomyts, E.G., Rozenberg, G.S. (2009). Forecasted changes of biological cycle and carbon

18. balance in temperate forest ecosystems under global warming // Intern. Journ. of Ecological

19. Economic & Statistics. V. 15, No F09, Pp. 1–19.

20. Polynov, B.B. (1956). Selected Studies. USSR Academy of Sciences Press, Moscow. 751 p. (in

21. Russian).

22. Pope, V.D., Gallani M.L., Rowntree P.R., and Stratton, R.A. (2000). The impact of new physical parametrizations

23. in Hadley Centre climate model – HadCM3 // Climate Dynamics. V.16. pp. 123–146.

24. Rozenberg, G.S. (1984). Models in Phytocenology. Nauka, Moscow. 265 p. (in Russian).

25. Shary P.A. (2001). Analytical GIS Eco. Website: http//www.esti-map.ru.

26. Shary, P.A. Sharaya L.S., Mitusov, A.V. (2002). Fundamental quantitative methods of land

27. surface analysis // Geoderma. V.107. № 1–2. pp. 1–32.

28. Sochava, V.B. (1974). Geotopology as a Division of Geosystem Science // Topological aspects

29. of Geosystem Science.Nauka, Novosibirsk. pp. 3–86 (in Russian).

30. Sukachev, V.N. Selected Studies. V.1. (1972). Fundamentals of Forest Typology and Biocenology.

31. Nauka, Leningrad. 418 p. (in Russian).

32. Zalihanov, M.Ch., Losev, K.S., Shelekhov, A.M. (2006). Natural ecosystems as the important

33. resource of mankind. // Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences. V.76, № 7. pp. 612 –

34. (in Russian).

For citation:

Kolomyts E., Rozenberg G., Sharaya L. CARBON BALANCE OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS UNDER GLOBAL WARMING: LANDSCAPE-ECOLOGICAL PREDICTIVE MODELING. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2011;4(1):69-85. https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2011-4-1-69-85