Advanced search

The Value Of Buildings And Structures For Permafrost Damage Prediction: The Case Of Eastern Russian Arctic

Full Text:



The relevance of the study lay in the need to obtain reliable information on the possible economic consequences of changing geocryological conditions in the Russian Arctic, to find methods for preventing (reducing) potential damage, increasing the safety of the population and economy in the areas of the highest geocryological risks, and ensuring balanced socio-economic development in the Russian Arctic permafrost zone for the long term. The study aimed to assess the cost of fixed assets, including their most vulnerable part – buildings and structures (case study: municipalities of the Russian Arctic Asian sector). Economic sectoral structure was evaluated in accordance with the Russian Standard Industrial Classification of Economic Activities using primary statistical data – closed data from companies accounting reports. The work used statistical, cartographic, and visual-graphic methods, as well as methods for analyzing spatial information and microeconomic data. According to calculations, the Russian Arctic Asian sector concentrates the fixed assets of commercial companies with a total value of about 14.8 trillion rubles, including buildings and structures worth 10.7 trillion rubles. The obtained calculated data can be used in modeling the directions of state policy in the field of climate change adaptation and territory protection from natural hazards.

About the Authors

Svetlana V. Badina
Lomonosov Moscow State University; Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography, GSP-1

Leninskie Gory, 1, 119991, Moscow,

Stremyanny lane, 36, 117997, Moscow

Alexey A. Pankratov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Economics

Leninskiye Gory, 1, 46 bld, 119991, Moscow


1. Ableeva A.M. (2010). Assessment of the dynamics of the cost of fixed assets of agriculture in the Republic of Bashkortostan, Economic aspects of anti-crisis development of modern society. Materials of the II International Scientific and Practical Conference, 6-8. (in Russian).

2. Adamadziev K.R., Adamadzieva A.K. (2011). Assessment of the dependence of GRP on investment, the number of people employed in the economy and the cost of fixed assets using panel data models (on the example of Russian regions), International Journal of Applied and Basic Research, 9, 68-70. (in Russian).

3. Akimov V.A., Voronov S.P., Radaev N.N. (2013). Risk concepts and risk analysis concepts, Civil protection strategy: problems and researches, 3, 2(5), 562-567 (in Russian).

4. Anisimov O.A., Streletsky D.A. (2015). Geocryological risks during the thawing of permafrost soils. Arctic XXI century, Natural sciences, 2(3), 60-74 (in Russian).

5. Anisimov O.A., Kokorev V.A. (2016). Climate in the Arctic zone of Russia: analysis of modern changes and model projections for the XXI century, Vestnik Moskovskogo Universiteta, Seriya 5: Geografiya, 1, 61-69 (in Russian).

6. Baburin V.L., Badina S.V. (2015). Evaluation of the social-economic potential of natural hazard- subjected territories, Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta, Seriya 5: Geografiya, 5, 9-16. (In Russian).

7. Baburin V.L., Badina S.V. (2020). Forecasting of damages from natural hazards for the «Northern Caucasus Resorts» tourist cluster, Sustainable Development of Mountain Territories, 12(3), 349-356. (In Russian).

8. Badina S.V. (2020). Prediction of socioeconomic risks in the cryolithic zone of the Russian Arctic in the context of upcoming climate changes, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 31, 4, 396-403.

9. Badina S.V. (2021). Estimation of the value of buildings and structures in the context of permafrost degradation: The case of the Russian Arctic, Polar Science, DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2021.100730.

10. Badina S.V., Pankratov A.A., Yankov K.V. (2020). Transport accessibility problems of the isolated settlements in Russian European Arctic zone, InterCarto. InterGIS. GI support of sustainable development of territories: Proceedings of the International conference. Moscow: Moscow University Press, 26(1), 305-317 (in Russian).

11. Berdnikova V.N. (2019). The relationship between cadastral and market value, Bulletin of the Chelyabinsk State University, 9(431), Economic sciences, Issue 66, 210–216. (in Russian).

12. Carpenter C.G. (2005). Fixed Asset Accounting Software Evaluation: A Structured Methodology For The Mid-Market Firm, The Review of Business Information Systems s – Spring 2005, 9(2), 55-68.

13. Daniels M.B. (1993). The Valuation of Fixed Assets. The Accounting Review (Published By: American Accounting Association), 8(4), 302- 316.

14. Didkovsky V.M., Tabakova S.A. (1997). Methodological approaches to assessing the replacement cost of fixed assets, Evaluation issues, 1(5-10). (in Russian).

15. Dmitriev M.E., Chistyakov P.A., Romashina A.A. (2020). Approbation of the methodology for estimating municipal gross value added, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 31 (1), 36-43.

16. Eidelman G.I., Barashev A.F., Lylova T.Yu., Medvedev Yu.A. Determination of the full replacement cost in the appraisal and revaluation of fixed assets. Deposited manuscript,185-B2010 05.04.2010. (in Russian).

17. Fernandes P. (2007). Company valuation methods. The most common errors in valuations. IESE Business School – University of Navarra. January 2002. SSRN Electronic Journal.

18. Fomin D.A., Khanin G.I. (2012). An alternative assessment of the cost of fixed assets and the financial position of the railway transport in Russia, Forecasting problems, 3(132), 55-70. (in Russian).

19. Gourfinkel D. (2007). Regional Study on the Management, Control, and Recording of Fixed Assets: Latin America and the Caribbean. World Bank, Washington, DC.

20. Grebenets V.I., Streletsky D.A., Shiklomanov N.I. (2012). Changes in the bearing capacity of frozen soils due to climate warming in the north of Western Siberia, Cryosphere of the Earth, 16(1), 22-32 (in Russian).

21. Gribovsky S.V. (1998). The concept of accounting for depreciation models of fixed assets of enterprises when assessing their market value, Evaluation issues, No. 3, 2–12. (in Russian).

22. Melnikov V.P., Osipov V.I., Brushkov A.V. et al. (2021). Assessment of damage to residential and industrial buildings and structures during temperature changes and permafrost thawing in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation by the middle of the XXI century, Geoecology, 1, 14-31 (in Russian).

23. Khanin G.I., Kopylova N.V. (2011). Alternative assessment of the replacement cost of fixed assets of Russian industry in 2005–2008, ECO, 1(439), 83-98. (in Russian).

24. Kislov A.V., Grebenets V.I., Evstigneev V.M. et al. (2011). Consequences of possible climate warming in the XXI century in the north of Eurasia, Vestnik Moskovskogo Universiteta, Seriya 5: Geografiya, 3, 3-8. (in Russian).

25. Korolev V.Yu., Bening V.E., Shorgin S.Ya. (2007). Mathematical foundations of risk theory. Moscow: FIZMATLIT (in Russian).

26. Kotlyarov M.A., Tatarkin D.A., Animitsa P.E. (2012). The relationship between the market and cadastral value of real estate for tax purposes, Economy. Taxes. Right, 6, 25-30. (in Russian).

27. Kukkoneni I., Suhonen E., Ezhova E. et al. (2020). Observations and modelling of ground temperature evolution in the discontinuous permafrost zone in Nadym, north-west Siberia, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 31(2), 264-280.

28. Kuznetsova O.V., Badina S.V., Mikhailov A.A., Bobrovsky R.O. (2021). Development trends and modernization of the industry in Russian regions, Moscow: Research Association of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, 2. (in Russian).

29. Myagkov S.M., Shnyparkov A.L. (2004). Risk concept. Section of the monograph «Natural hazards of Russia. «Nature, Society and Environment». Moscow: Publishing house «Gorodets», 4, 265-274 (in Russian).

30. Myasnikov V.F., Pokhorukova E.I. (2019). Cadastral and market value of residential real estate: what is the difference? Regulation of land and property relations in Russia: legal and geospatial support, real estate appraisal, ecology, technological solutions, 1, 208-211. (in Russian).

31. Osipov V.I., Larionov V.I., Burova V.N. et al. (2017). Methodology of natural risk assessment in Russia, Natural Hazards, 88(S1), 17-41.

32. Orttung R.W., Anisimov O., Badina S. et al. (2021). Measuring the sustainability of Russia’s arctic cities, Ambio, 50(11), 2090-2103.

33. Pankratov A.A., Musaev R.A., Badina S.V. (2020). Innovation clusters in the Arctic zone of Russian Federation, IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 941, 012023-012024.

34. Pankratov A.A., Kuvshinova E.A., Galstyan L.S. (2021). Quantitative Assessment of the Socioeconomic Potential of Advanced Development Territories of Regions of the Far Eastern Federal District, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 32(4), 407-414.

35. Petruk Yu.S. (2016). Essence, classification and assessment of the cost of fixed assets of the enterprise, Science in modern society: patterns and development trends. Collection of articles of the international scientific and practical conference: in 2 parts, 84–87. (in Russian).

36. Pilyasov A.N. (2020). Arctic entrepreneurship development factors. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY, 13(1), 46-56.

37. Porfiryev B.N. (2011). Nature and economics: risks of interaction. (Ecological and economic essays). Edited by Academician V.V. Ivanter. Moscow: Ankil (in Russian).

38. Porfirev B.N., Voronina S.A., Semikashev V.V. et al. (2017). Consequences of climate change for economic growth and development of individual sectors of the Russian Arctic economy, Arctic: ecology and economics, 4(28), 4-17. (in Russian).

39. Scholes R., Montanarella L., Brainich A. et al. (2018). IPBES (2018): Summary for policymakers of the thematic assessment report on land degradation and restoration of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Bonn, Germany (in Russian).

40. The second assessment report of Roshydromet on climate changes and their consequences on the territory of the Russian Federation. General summary. (2014). Moscow: FGBU «Research Center «Planeta» (in Russian).

41. Romanovsky V.E., Osterkamp T.E. (1997). Thawing of the active layer on the coastal plain of the Alaskan Arctic, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 8, 1-22.

42. Romanovsky V.E., Smith S.L., Christiansen H.H. (2010). Permafrost thermal state in the Polar Northern Hemisphere during the International Polar Year 2007–2009: a Synthesis, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 21, 106-116.

43. Sapritsky E.B., Rudnev Yu.A., Dubinsky A.R., Khalatov S.A. (1996). Computer systems for assessing the value of fixed assets, Evaluation issues, 4, 57-62. (in Russian).

44. Shichkov A.N. (2003). Assessment of the intrinsic value of fixed assets of the enterprise. Ministry of Education of the Russian Federation, Vologda State Technical University. Vologda. (in Russian).

45. Streletsky D.A., Shiklomanov N.I., Grebenets V.I. (2012). Changes in the bearing capacity of frozen soils in connection with climate warming in the north of Western Siberia, Cryosphere of the Earth, XVI(1), 22-32.

46. Streletskiy D.A., Suter L., Shiklomanov N.I. et al. (2019). Assessment of climate change impacts on buildings, structures and infrastructure in the Russian regions on permafrost, Environmental Research Letters, 14(2), 025003.

47. Suter L., Shiklomanov N., Streletskiy D. (2019). Assessment of the cost of climate change impacts on critical infrastructure in the circumpolar Arctic, Polar Geography, 42, 267-286.

48. SWIPA (2017). Snow, Water, Ice and Permafrost in the Arctic. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP). Oslo, Norway.

49. Vasiliev A.A., Drozdov D.S., Gravis A.G. et al. (2020a). Permafrost degradation in the western Russian arctic, Environmental Research Letters, 15, 045001.

50. Vasiliev A.A., Gravis A.G., Gubarkov A.A. et al. (2020b). Permafrost degradation: results of long-term geocryological monitoring in the western sector of the Russian arctic, Cryosphere of the Earth, 24(2), 15-30 (in Russian).

51. Volodin E.M., Mortikov E.V., Kostrykin S.V. et al. (2017). Simulation of the present-day climate with the climate model INMCM5, Climate Dynamics, 49, 11-12, 3715-3734.

52. Hjort J., Karjalainen O., Aalto J. et al. (2018). Degrading permafrost puts Arctic infrastructure at risk by midcentury, Nature communications, 9(1), 5147.

53. Zemlyanskiy D.Y., Kalinovskiy L.V., Makhrova A.G. et al. (2021). Integrated socioeconomic development index for Russian cities, Regional Research of Russia, 11(1), 29-39.


For citations:

Badina S.V., Pankratov A.A. The Value Of Buildings And Structures For Permafrost Damage Prediction: The Case Of Eastern Russian Arctic. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2021;14(4):83-92.

Views: 269

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

ISSN 2071-9388 (Print)
ISSN 2542-1565 (Online)