THE INFLUENCE OF CHANGING CLIMATE AND GEOCRYOLOGICAL CONDITIONS ON THE REGIME OF REGIONAL DISCHARGE AND ICING IN THE UPPER PART OF LENA RIVER’S BASIN
https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2012-5-1-41-51
Abstract
Using the balance method authors showed for the case of 1990 that the reaction of the river discharge on the climate change is different in the regions with continuous and sporadic permafrost extent. In mountain with continuous permafrost extent the climate warming has no strong influence on the river discharge but affects on the ice-mounds’ volume. In case of sporadic permafrost extent the decreasing of permafrost area to 30% leads to decreasing of snow-melting overflow up to 38%. Also the period of the flood became longer because the underground storage increasing that takes away the precipitation, snow-melting and condensation water from surface discharge.
About the Authors
Dmitry SergeevRussian Federation
Permafrost Laboratory, Institute of Environmental Geoscience, Russian Academy of Sciences
Nikolai Romanovskiy
Russian Federation
Geocryology Department, Faculty of Geology, Moscow State University
Gennadiy Tipenko
Russian Federation
Geocryology Laboratory, Institute of Environmental Geoscience, Russian Academy of Sciences
Sergey Buldovich
Russian Federation
Geocryology Department, Faculty of Geology, Moscow State University
Anatoly Gavrilov
Russian Federation
Laboratory of the Geological Environment, Faculty of Geology, Moscow State University
Kenji Yoshikawa
United States
Water Resource Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA
Vladimir Romanovsky
United States
Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks; PO Box 750109, Fairbanks, AK 99775, USA
References
1. Anisimov, O., et al. (2001) Polar Regions (Arctic and Antarctic). In “Climate Change: Impacts,
2. Adaption and Vulnerability, the Contribution of Working Group II of the Intergovernmental
3. Panel on Climate Change, Third Assessment Review». Cambridge University Press,
4. pp. 801–841.
5. Berezovskaya S., Yang D., Hinzman L. (2005) Long-term annual water balance analysis of
6. the Lena River // Global and Planetary Change, 48, pp. 84–95.
7. Dingman, S.L. (1973) Effects of permafrost on stream characteristics in the discontinuous
8. permafrost zone of central Alaska. In Permafrost, the North American Contribution tothe Second International Conference, Yakutsk, U.S.S.R., July 16–28, 1973, Proceedings:
9. Washington, D.C., National Academy of Sciences, p. 447–453.
10. Fotiev S.M. (1965) Underground Water and Permafrost of Southern Yakutian Coal Basin.
11. Moscow, Nauka, 231 pp. (in Russian).
12. Kane, D.L. (1997) The Impact of Hydrologic Perturbations on Arctic Ecosystems Induced by
13. Climate Change. In: Oechel, W.C., Callaghan, T., Gilmanov, T., Holten, J.I., Maxwell, B., Molau, U.
14. and B. Sveinbjornsson (eds.), Global Change and Arctic Terrestrial Ecosystem, Springer
15. Verlag, New York, pp. 63–81.
16. McNamara J.P., Kane D.L. and L.D. Hinzman (1998) An analysis of streamflow hydrology in
17. the Kuparuk River Basin, Arctic Alaska: a nested watershed approach, Journal of Hydrology,
18. : 39–57.
19. Osterkamp, T.E., and V.E. Romanovsky (1997) Freezing of the active layer on the Coastal
20. Plain of the Alaskan Arctic, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 8 (1), 23–44.
21. Pavlov, A.V. (1994) Current changes of climate and permafrost in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic
22. of Russia, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 5: 101–110.
23. Romanovskiy, N.N. (1983) Underground Waters in Cryolitozone. Moscow State University
24. Press, 232 pp. (in Russian).
25. Romanovsky, V.E. and V.E. Afanasenko (1980) New Data About Permafrost-Hydrogeological
26. Structure of the Dzhagdi-Socktahan Range. In: Geocryological Conditions of the BAMRegion,
27. Yakutsk (in Russian).
28. Romanovsky, V.E., and T.E. Osterkamp (2000) Effects of unfrozen water on heat and
29. mass transport processes in the active layer and permafrost, Permafrost and Periglacial
30. Processes, 11, 219–239.
31. Romanovsky, V.E., and T.E. Osterkamp (1995) Interannual variations of the thermal regime
32. of the active layer and near surface permafrost in Northern Alaska. Permafrost and
33. Periglacial Processes, 6, pp. 313–335.
34. Romanovsky, V.E., Osterkamp, T.E., Sazonova, T.S., Shender, N.I. and V.T. Balobaev (2001a)
35. Permafrost Temperature Dynamics Along the East Siberian Transect and an Alaskan Transect,
36. Tohoku Geophysical Journal (Sci. Rep. Tohoku Univ., Ser. 5), Vol. 36, No. 2, pp. 224–229.
37. Romanovsky, V.E., Shender, N.I., Sazonova, T.S., Balobaev, V.T., Tipenko, G.S. and Rusakov,
38. V.G. (2001b) Permafrost Temperatures in Alaska and East Siberia: Past, Present and Future.
39. In: Proceedings of the Second Russian Conference on Geocryology (Permafrost Science),
40. Moscow, June 6–8, pp. 301–314.
41. Romanovsky, V.E. and N.N. Romanovskii (1984) The Improvement of Electrical Conductivity
42. Method Efficiency for the Purposes of the Small Scale Engineering and Geocryological-
43. Hydrogeological Surveys, Ingenernaja Geologia, 4: 116–125 (in Russian).
44. Savelieva, N.I., Semiletov, I.P., Vasilevskaya, L.N. and S.P. Pugach (2000) A climate shift in
45. seasonal values of meteorological and hydrological parameters for northeastern Asia,
46. Progress in Oceanography, 47: 279–297.
47. Savelieva, N.I., Semiletov, I.P., Weller, G. and L.N. Vasilevskaya (2001) Empirical evidence for
48. North Asia climate shift in the early 1970s. In I.P. Semiletov (ed.), Changes in the Atmosphere–
49. Land–Sea System in the Amerasian Arctic, Dalnauka, Vladivostok, pp. 41–54.
50. Sazonova, T.S., Romanovsky, V.E., Sergeev, D.O. and Tipenko, G.S. (2001) The Modeling of
51. Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Temperature Regime (past, present and future)within East-Siberian Transect, using GIS, EOS, Trans. AGU, 82 (47), Fall Meet. Suppl.,
52. Abstract, F180.
53. Shesterniov D.M., Verkhoturov A.G. (2006) Icing of Transbaykalia Region. Chita, Chita State
54. University Press, 213 pp. (in Russian).
55. Southern Yakutia (1975) Ed. by Kudryavtzev V.A., Moscow, MSU Publishing, 444 pp.
56. (in Russian).
57. Vsevolojskiy V., Kurinova T. (1989) Water Balance of Intensive Water Migration Zone in
58. Southern Part of Cryolithozone. In: Geocryological and Hydrological Investigations of the
59. Intensive Water Migration Zone. Moscow, Nauka, pp. 13–23 (in Russian).
Review
For citations:
Sergeev D., Romanovskiy N., Tipenko G., Buldovich S., Gavrilov A., Yoshikawa K., Romanovsky V. THE INFLUENCE OF CHANGING CLIMATE AND GEOCRYOLOGICAL CONDITIONS ON THE REGIME OF REGIONAL DISCHARGE AND ICING IN THE UPPER PART OF LENA RIVER’S BASIN. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2012;5(1):41-51. https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2012-5-1-41-51
Views: 715
Email this article 