Calibration Of Regional Vulnerability Functions By Applying Earthquake Events Database
Abstract
The paper describes the structure and content of the Information System database containing information on earthquake events, which is developed and supported within the framework of computer support for the EMERCOM of the Russian Federation. The database is assigned to provide analytical support for decision making in case of an emergency situation, including tools for mathematical simulation of hazardous excitation, the response of elements at risk to excitation and loss generation. The calibration procedure of the earthquake vulnerability functions for buildings and structures using the database with descriptions of events is presented. The calibrated functions of earthquake vulnerability for buildings of different types are applied to provide an acceptable accuracy of situational assessments for the case of a strong earthquake. The examples of earthquake damage estimations for the test site in Siberia showed that region-specific parameters in the vulnerability functions yield more reliable results to estimate possible damage and losses due to a large earthquake. For Irkutsk City, the estimates of the numbers of heavily damaged and completely collapsed buildings obtained when using different sets of parameters for vulnerability functions differ by 30%. Such difference in damage estimates can significantly affect the plans for rescue and recovery operations. The conclusion is made about the advantage of the calibrated functions application for near real-time damage and loss assessment due to strong earthquakes in order to ensure population safety and territory sustainable development.
About the Authors
Nina I. Frolova
Institute of Environmental Geosciences, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Ulansky per. 13, Moscow, 101000
Russian Federation
Ulansky per. 13, Moscow, 101000
Valery I. Larionov
Institute of Environmental Geosciences, Russian Academy of Sciences; Bauman Moscow State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Ulansky per. 13, Moscow, 101000
2-nd Baumanskaya, 5, Moscow, 105005
Jean Bonnin
Institut de Physique du Globe, University of Strasbourg
France
Strasbourg F-67084
France
Strasbourg F-67084
Sergey P. Sushchev
Extreme Situations Research Center
Russian Federation
Vyatskaya str. 35, Moscow, 127015
Russian Federation
Vyatskaya str. 35, Moscow, 127015
Alexander N. Ugarov
Bauman Moscow State Technical University
Russian Federation
2-nd Baumanskaya, 5, Moscow, 105005
Russian Federation
2-nd Baumanskaya, 5, Moscow, 105005
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Review
Supporting agencies: The research was carried out for the state projects No. AAAA-A19-119021190077-6 and No. 175-11- 2019-087 dated 18.12.2019 (Resolution № 218 of 09.04.2010, the Ministry of science and higher education). The authors thank the editor and the anonymous reviewer who read the paper and provided helpful comments for improvements. We thank our colleagues for continuous support and discussion of different steps of EMERCOM IS database development and its application for the calibration of Extremum System mathematical models. Special thanks are extended to the staff of Extreme Situations Research Center for their contribution to the development of GIS environment and colleagues in Institute of the Earth Crust of RAS for fruitful cooperation. Also, we wish to acknowledge the helpful comments by Dr. A. Petrosyan
For citations:
Frolova N.I., Larionov V.I., Bonnin J., Sushchev S.P., Ugarov A.N. Calibration Of Regional Vulnerability Functions By Applying Earthquake Events Database. GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY. 2020;13(4):54-64. https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2020-97
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