gesjGEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITYGEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY2071-93882542-1565Russian Geographical Society10.24057/2071-9388-2014-7-4-95-117gesj-69Research ArticleSUSTAINABILITYУстойчивое развитиеSOCIAL RISK AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT OF HAZARDOUS HYDROLOGICAL PHENOMENA IN RUSSIAZemtsovStepan P.info@geogr.msu.ruBaburinVyacheslav L.

Faculty of Geography

face@neicon.ruKoltermannKlaus P.

Faculty of Geography

face@neicon.ruKrylenkoInna N.

Faculty of Geography

face@neicon.ruYuminaNatalia M.

Faculty of Geography

face@neicon.ruLitvinovVladimir Yu.

Faculty of Geography

face@neicon.ruInstitute of applied economic research, the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationRussian FederationLomonosov Moscow State UniversityRussian Federation2014011220147495117Copyright © Zemtsov S.P., Baburin V.L., Koltermann K.P., Krylenko I.N., Yumina N.M., Litvinov V.Y., 20142014Zemtsov S.P., Baburin V.L., Koltermann K.P., Krylenko I.N., Yumina N.M., Litvinov V.Y.Zemtsov S.P., Baburin V.L., Koltermann K.P., Krylenko I.N., Yumina N.M., Litvinov V.Y.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/69

Methods and results of social vulnerability and risk assessment are presented in the article. It is explored if modified methodology of the United Nations University (World risk index) can be used on different scale levels: regional, municipal and settlement. It was estimated that, despite the low value of the World risk index for Russia, southern coastal and mountain regions have high values of the risk index for hydrological phenomena because of higher frequency of the hazardous events, higher population density, and high social vulnerability. The Krasnodar region (in the south-western part of Russia) was chosen for a detailed analysis. A municipal risk index was developed, and municipal districts in the Kuban rivermouth were identified as territories with the highest risk. For verification of the index results, the percentage of vulnerable people was estimated based on opinion polls. The results can be used in further risk calculation for other hazardous phenomena.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.