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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gesj</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2071-9388</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-1565</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Geographical Society</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24057/2071-9388-2026-4312</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gesj-5043</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH PAPER</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Mapping the mangrove suitability area in the coast of indonesia using a random forest model</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title></trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zahira</surname><given-names>Dhia Z.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Jl. Ganesa No. 10, Bandung, 40132</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">dhiazalfa284@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Muhammad</surname><given-names>Rizqi A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Jl. Ganesa No. 10, Bandung, 40132</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nasing</surname><given-names>Elysabeth N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Jl. Ganesa No. 10, Bandung, 40132</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Wibawa</surname><given-names>Apta A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Jl. Ganesa No. 10, Bandung, 40132</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tatag</surname><given-names>Utomo A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Jl. Ganesa No. 10, Bandung, 40132</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-1"><institution>Institut Teknologi Bandung</institution><country>Indonesia</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>09</day><month>10</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>19</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>36</fpage><lpage>47</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Zahira D.Z., Muhammad R.A., Nasing E.N., Wibawa A.A., Tatag U.A., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Zahira D.Z., Muhammad R.A., Nasing E.N., Wibawa A.A., Tatag U.A.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Zahira D.Z., Muhammad R.A., Nasing E.N., Wibawa A.A., Tatag U.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/5043">https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/5043</self-uri><abstract><p>Mangrove ecosystems play a crucial role in climate change mitigation through their exceptional capacity for carbon storage, yet their distribution in Indonesia—the country with the second-longest coastline in the world—remains underutilized for large-scale restoration and management. Despite being home to around 25% of the world’s mangrove forests, many coastal areas have lost their mangrove cover due to massive degradation and conversion. This study aims to map mangrove habitat suitability across Indonesia and to provide a predictive framework for restoration planning. This study integrated multi-source remote sensing and socio-environmental datasets—including temperature, precipitation, elevation, slope, tidal, land cover, nighttime light, and population density—into a Random Forest classification model, using Global Mangrove Watch 2020 data as the source of training labels. Model performance was evaluated using confusion matrixbased metrics. The Random Forest model achieved a robust result of classification, with an overall accuracy and a kappa coefficient of 97.81% and 0.96, respectively. The model identified approximately 10.09 million hectares of coastal zones as suitable for mangrove growth, a spatial extent three times larger than the existing mangrove cover. These results emphasize the opportunity in Indonesia to scale up mangrove restoration, contribute to national climate targets, and enhance coastal resilience.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>mangrove habitat</kwd><kwd>coastal Indonesia</kwd><kwd>random forest classification</kwd><kwd>machine learning</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to Prof. Dr. Albertus Deliar, S.T., M.T., Dr. Irwan Gumilar, S.T., M.Si, and Dr. Techn. Dhota Pradipta, S.T, M.T for their valuable guidance, constructive feedback, and insightful discussions throughout the development of this research. 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