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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gesj</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2071-9388</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-1565</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Geographical Society</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24057/2071-9388-2011-4-1-69-85</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gesj-230</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ENVIRONMENT</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Окружающая среда</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>CARBON BALANCE OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS UNDER GLOBAL WARMING: LANDSCAPE-ECOLOGICAL PREDICTIVE MODELING</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title></trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kolomyts</surname><given-names>Erland</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, Komzina str., 10, Togliatti, 445003, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ievbrus2005@mail.ru</email></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Rozenberg</surname><given-names>Gennady</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, Komzina str., 10, Togliatti, 445003, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ievbrus2005@mail.ru</email></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sharaya</surname><given-names>Larisa</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, Komzina str., 10, Togliatti, 445003, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ievbrus2005@mail.ru</email></contrib></contrib-group><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2011</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>01</day><month>03</month><year>2011</year></pub-date><volume>4</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>69</fpage><lpage>85</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Kolomyts E., Rozenberg G., Sharaya L., 2011</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2011</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Kolomyts E., Rozenberg G., Sharaya L.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kolomyts E., Rozenberg G., Sharaya L.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/230">https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/230</self-uri><abstract><p>This paper presents the results of application of landscape-ecological methods for evaluation of biotic regulation of the carbon cycle in forest ecosystems. Methods for constructing analytical and cartographic empirical-statistical models for identification of forest associations and zonal/regional types of forest formations capable of stabilizing the continental biosphere under changing climate are described. Possible biotic regulation of the carbon cycle under known scenarios of future greenhouse warming is suggested. The maps on the carbon content and its changes in the forests of the Oka river basin are presented.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>ecosystem</kwd><kwd>biogeocoenoses</kwd><kwd>climatic changes</kwd><kwd>empirical statistical modeling</kwd><kwd>cartographic approach</kwd><kwd>ecological prediction</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Aber J., Nelson R.P., Mcnulty St., et al (2001). 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