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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gesj</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2071-9388</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-1565</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Geographical Society</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24057/2071-9388-2020-215</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gesj-2055</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH PAPER</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Spatio-Temporal Analysis Of Urban Expansion And Future Growth Patterns Of Lahore, Pakistan</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title></trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nasar-u-Minallah</surname><given-names>Muhammad</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Geography, Govt. Postgraduate.</p><p>Punjab</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Nasarbhalli@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zia</surname><given-names>Sahar</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Geography.</p><p>Lahore</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Rahman</surname><given-names>Atta-ur</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>University of Peshawar</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Riaz</surname><given-names>Omer</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Earth Sciences.</p><p>Sargodha</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-1"><institution>College Gojra</institution><country>Pakistan</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-2"><institution>Lahore College for Women University</institution><country>Pakistan</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-3"><institution>Department of Geography</institution><country>Pakistan</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-4"><institution>University of Sargodha</institution><country>Pakistan</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>04</day><month>10</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>14</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>41</fpage><lpage>53</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Nasar-u-Minallah M., Zia S., Rahman A., Riaz O., 2021</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2021</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Nasar-u-Minallah M., Zia S., Rahman A., Riaz O.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Nasar-u-Minallah M., Zia S., Rahman A., Riaz O.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/2055">https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/2055</self-uri><abstract><p>Lahore, a metropolis and 2nd largest city of Pakistan, has been experiencing rapid urban expansion over the past five decades. The socio-economic development and growth of the urban population have caused the rapid increase of urban expansion. The increase in the built-up area of Lahore has seen remarkable growth during the past five decades. This study is aimed at detecting the Spatio-temporal changes in land use land cover and evaluating the urban expansion of Lahore since 1973. The conversion of land to other uses is primarily because of growth in urban population, whereas the increase in economic activities is the central reason for the land-use changes. In this study, temporal Landsat imageries were integrated with demographic data in the GIS environment to quantify the spatial and temporal dynamics of land use land cover (LULC) changes and urban expansion of Lahore city. The supervised image classification of maximum likelihood algorithm was applied on Landsat MSS (1973 and 1980), TM (1990), ETM+ (2000), TM (2010), and OLI/TIRs (2020) images, whereas a postclassification comparison technique was employed to detect changes over time. The spatial and temporal analysis revealed that during the past five decades, the built-up area of Lahore city has expanded by ~ 532 km2. It was found from the analysis that in Lahore city the urban expansion was primarily at the cost of loss of fertile agricultural land, vegetation, and other cultivable land use. The analysis further revealed that the structure and growth pattern of Lahore has mainly followed road network and linear expansion. The results indicate that this accretive urban expansion is attributed to socio-economic, demography, conversion of farmland, rural-urban migration, proximity to transportation routes, and commercial factors. This study envisions for decision-makers and urban planners to devise effective spatial urban planning strategies and check the growth trend of Lahore city.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Land use change</kwd><kwd>urban expansion</kwd><kwd>monitoring</kwd><kwd>growth pattern</kwd><kwd>Lahore</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Agarwal C., Green G.M., Grove J.M., Evans T.P. and Schweik C.M. (2002). A review and assessment of land-use change models: dynamics of space, time, and human choice. Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-297. Newton Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, 61, DOI: 10.2737/NE-GTR-297</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Agarwal C., Green G.M., Grove J.M., Evans T.P. and Schweik C.M. (2002). A review and assessment of land-use change models: dynamics of space, time, and human choice. 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