<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gesj</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2071-9388</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-1565</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Geographical Society</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24057/2071-9388-2020-133</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gesj-1870</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEW PAPER</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Climate Change Impact On Renewable Energy Resources In The Arab World Based On Jacobson's Roadmap Of Renewable Wind, Water, And Sunlight (Wws) 2050</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title></trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Abbas</surname><given-names>Waleed</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of geography &amp; GIS, faculty of Arts</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Hassan</surname><given-names>Ahmed</given-names></name></name-alternatives><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ismael</surname><given-names>Hossam</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of geography &amp; GIS, faculty of Arts</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-1"><institution>Ain Shams University</institution><country>Egypt</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-2"><institution>Ministry of education</institution><country>Kuwait</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-3"><institution>New Valley University</institution><country>Egypt</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>04</day><month>07</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>14</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>92</fpage><lpage>104</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Abbas W., Hassan A., Ismael H., 2021</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2021</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Abbas W., Hassan A., Ismael H.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Abbas W., Hassan A., Ismael H.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/1870">https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/1870</self-uri><abstract><p>Most Arab countries are part of the Sunbelt where solar insolation is among the highest in the world (as high as 9.5 kWh/m2 per day). At the same time, Arab countries have a high-risk of climate change. Of the 19 countries that set new temperature high in 2010, five were Arab countries. Temperature in Kuwait reached 54.3 °C in 2019. The aims of this study were fourfold: to discuss the current situation of renewable energy in the Arab countries, to analyses the regional patterns of climate change, to secure a certain amount of the future energy needs by establishing the suitability map for renewable energy exploitation, and to assess the Jacobson's «world plan», 100% Clean and Renewable Wind, Water, and Sunlight (WWS) All-Sector Energy Roadmaps for Arab Countries according to climate change impacts 2050. To achieve these aims, the current study depended on climatic data from web-based WorldClim utility and the global climate model ECHAM5-MPIQM that downscaled by the regional climate model RegCM and CQRDEX domain. A site suitability map has been developed using the Geographic Information System (GIS). We analyzed the results based on the IPCC A2 scenario for the periods 2011-2040 and 2041-2070. We found that transforming Arab countries to a 100% WWS system as suggested by Jacobson et al. (2016) will reduce the end-user demand in 2050 by about 32%. This difference can be attributed to the conversion of fossil fuel combustions to a more efficient sustainable renewable energy.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Sustainable Development</kwd><kwd>Renewable energy</kwd><kwd>Climate change impacts</kwd><kwd>suitability map</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Almazroui M. (2012). Dynamical downscaling of rainfall and temperature over the Arabian Peninsula using RegCM4. Clim. Res. 52, 49-62, DOI: 10.3354/cr01073.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Almazroui M. (2012). Dynamical downscaling of rainfall and temperature over the Arabian Peninsula using RegCM4. Clim. Res. 52, 49-62, DOI: 10.3354/cr01073.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Almazroui M. (2016). RegCM4 in climate simulation over CORDEX-MENA/Arab domain: selection of suitable domain, convection and land-surface schemes. Int. J. Climatol, 36, 236-251, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4340 Accessed January 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Almazroui M. (2016). RegCM4 in climate simulation over CORDEX-MENA/Arab domain: selection of suitable domain, convection and land-surface schemes. Int. J. Climatol, 36, 236-251, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4340 Accessed January 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Almazroui M., Islam M.N., Al-Khalaf A.K., Saeed F. (2015). Best convective parametrization scheme within RegCM4 to downscale CMIP5 multi-model data for the CORDEX-MENA/Arab domain. Theor. Appl. Climatol, 124, 807-823.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Almazroui M., Islam M.N., Al-Khalaf A.K., Saeed F. (2015). Best convective parametrization scheme within RegCM4 to downscale CMIP5 multi-model data for the CORDEX-MENA/Arab domain. Theor. Appl. Climatol, 124, 807-823.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Almazroui M., Islam M.N., Alkhalaf A.K., Saeed F., Dambul R., Rahman M.A. (2016). Simulation of temperature and precipitation climatology for the CORDEX-MENA/ Arab domain using RegCM4. Arab. J. Geosci. 9 (1), 1-13.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Almazroui M., Islam M.N., Alkhalaf A.K., Saeed F., Dambul R., Rahman M.A. (2016). Simulation of temperature and precipitation climatology for the CORDEX-MENA/ Arab domain using RegCM4. Arab. J. Geosci. 9 (1), 1-13.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Andrade C., Corte Real J. (2014). Spatial distribution of climate change indices in the Iberian Peninsula. ICNAAM-2014. AIP Conf Proc 1648: 1</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Andrade C., Corte Real J. (2014). Spatial distribution of climate change indices in the Iberian Peninsula. ICNAAM-2014. AIP Conf Proc 1648: 1</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Arab Union of Electricity (2016b). Statistical Bulletin 2016. Available at https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2016/IRENA_Arab_Region_Overview_2016.pdf [accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Arab Union of Electricity (2016b). Statistical Bulletin 2016. Available at https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2016/IRENA_Arab_Region_Overview_2016.pdf [accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Arab Monetary Fund (2019). Database available at https://www.amf.org.ae/en/arabic_economic_database [accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Arab Monetary Fund (2019). Database available at https://www.amf.org.ae/en/arabic_economic_database [accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Arnold T. (2019). Saudi's PIF invests more than $1 billion in electric carmaker Lucid Motors. Reuters, 17 September 2018. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudiinvestment-auto/saudis-pif-invests-more-than-1-billion-inlucid-motors-idUSKCN1LX1IG.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Arnold T. (2019). Saudi's PIF invests more than $1 billion in electric carmaker Lucid Motors. Reuters, 17 September 2018. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudiinvestment-auto/saudis-pif-invests-more-than-1-billion-inlucid-motors-idUSKCN1LX1IG.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Baltas E. (2007). blpatial distribution of climatic indices in northern Greece. Meteorol Appl 14: 69-78</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Baltas E. (2007). blpatial distribution of climatic indices in northern Greece. Meteorol Appl 14: 69-78</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Beck Thorsten. (2011). Finance and Oil: Is Therea Resource Curse in Financial Development?, In Beyond the Curse: Policies to Harness the Power of Natural Resources, edited by Rabah. Arezki, Thorvaldur Gylfason and Amadou Sy. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Beck Thorsten. (2011). Finance and Oil: Is Therea Resource Curse in Financial Development?, In Beyond the Curse: Policies to Harness the Power of Natural Resources, edited by Rabah. Arezki, Thorvaldur Gylfason and Amadou Sy. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region and Europe (2016). Fuel Economy Policies &amp; Labeling for New Cars:Improving Fuel Efficiency and CO2 Emissions in Egypt. Available at http://pharos.cedare.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Handout-Fuel-Economy-for-Cars_Policy_Brief_EGYPT-GFEI.pdf</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region and Europe (2016). Fuel Economy Policies &amp; Labeling for New Cars:Improving Fuel Efficiency and CO2 Emissions in Egypt. Available at http://pharos.cedare.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Handout-Fuel-Economy-for-Cars_Policy_Brief_EGYPT-GFEI.pdf</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Collins W.D., Ramaswamy V., Schwarzkopf M.D., Sun Y., Portmann R.W., Fu Q., Casanova S.E.B., Dufresne J.-L., Fillmore D.W., Forster P.M.D., Galin V.Y., Gohar L.K., Ingram WJ., Kratz D.P., Lefebvre M.-P. et al. (2006). Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). J. Geophys. Res., 111, D14317, DOI:10.1029/2005JD006713.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Collins W.D., Ramaswamy V., Schwarzkopf M.D., Sun Y., Portmann R.W., Fu Q., Casanova S.E.B., Dufresne J.-L., Fillmore D.W., Forster P.M.D., Galin V.Y., Gohar L.K., Ingram WJ., Kratz D.P., Lefebvre M.-P. et al. (2006). Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). J. Geophys. Res., 111, D14317, DOI:10.1029/2005JD006713.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Coumou D., Robinson A. and Rahmstorf S. (2013). Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures Clim. Change, 118, 771-82.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Coumou D., Robinson A. and Rahmstorf S. (2013). Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures Clim. Change, 118, 771-82.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Croitoru A., Piticar A., Imbroane A.M., Burada D.C. (2013). Spatio temporal distribution of aridity indices based on temperature and precipitation in the extra-Carpathian regions of Romania. Theor Appl Climatol 112: 597-607.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Croitoru A., Piticar A., Imbroane A.M., Burada D.C. (2013). Spatio temporal distribution of aridity indices based on temperature and precipitation in the extra-Carpathian regions of Romania. Theor Appl Climatol 112: 597-607.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Deng L., McCabe M.F., Stenchikov G., Evans J.P., Kucera P.A. (2015). Simulation of flash-flood-producing storm events in Saudi Arabia using the weather research and forecasting model. J Hydrometeorol, 16, 615-630.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Deng L., McCabe M.F., Stenchikov G., Evans J.P., Kucera P.A. (2015). Simulation of flash-flood-producing storm events in Saudi Arabia using the weather research and forecasting model. J Hydrometeorol, 16, 615-630.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit16"><label>16</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Donat M.G. et al. (2014). Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. Int J Climatol, 34, 581-592.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Donat M.G. et al. (2014). Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. Int J Climatol, 34, 581-592.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit17"><label>17</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">El Kenawy A., Lopez-Moreno J., Vicente-Serrano S., MekldM (2009). Temperature trends in Libya over the second half of the 20th century. Theor Appl Climatol, 98, 1-8.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">El Kenawy A., Lopez-Moreno J., Vicente-Serrano S., MekldM (2009). Temperature trends in Libya over the second half of the 20th century. Theor Appl Climatol, 98, 1-8.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit18"><label>18</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">El Kenawy A., Lopez-Moreno J., Vicente-Serrano S., Abdelal M. (2010). Temperature variability along the Mediterranean and its links to large-scale atmospheric circulation (1957-2006), Bull Egypt Geog Soc, 83, 121-140.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">El Kenawy A., Lopez-Moreno J., Vicente-Serrano S., Abdelal M. (2010). Temperature variability along the Mediterranean and its links to large-scale atmospheric circulation (1957-2006), Bull Egypt Geog Soc, 83, 121-140.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit19"><label>19</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">El Kenawy A., McCabe M.F., Stenchikov G., Raj J. (2014). Multi-decadal classification of synoptic weather types, observed trends and links to rainfall characteristics over Saudi Arabia. Front Environ Sci, 2, 37.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">El Kenawy A., McCabe M.F., Stenchikov G., Raj J. (2014). Multi-decadal classification of synoptic weather types, observed trends and links to rainfall characteristics over Saudi Arabia. Front Environ Sci, 2, 37.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit20"><label>20</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Grell G.A., Dudhia J., &amp; Stauffer D.R. (1994). A Description of the Fifth Generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5). Boulder: National Center for Atmospheric Research.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Grell G.A., Dudhia J., &amp; Stauffer D.R. (1994). A Description of the Fifth Generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5). Boulder: National Center for Atmospheric Research.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit21"><label>21</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Giorgi F., Lionello P. (2008). Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob. Planet. Chang. 63(2), 90-104.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Giorgi F., Lionello P. (2008). Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob. Planet. Chang. 63(2), 90-104.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit22"><label>22</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Giorgi F., Jones C., Asrar G.R. (2009). Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework. In: World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Bulletin, 58(3), 175.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Giorgi F., Jones C., Asrar G.R. (2009). Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework. In: World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Bulletin, 58(3), 175.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit23"><label>23</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">International Renewable Energy Agency (2019a). Renewable Energy Market Analysis: GCC (2019). Abu Dhabi. https://www.irena.org/publications/2019/Jan/Renewable-Energy-Market- Analysis-GCC-2019 [Accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">International Renewable Energy Agency (2019a). Renewable Energy Market Analysis: GCC (2019). Abu Dhabi. https://www.irena.org/publications/2019/Jan/Renewable-Energy-Market- Analysis-GCC-2019 [Accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit24"><label>24</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">International Renewable Energy Agency (2019b). Renewable Capacity Statistics 2019. Abu Dhabi. Available at https://www.irena.org/publications/2019/Mar/Renewable-Capacity-Statistics-2019 [Accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">International Renewable Energy Agency (2019b). Renewable Capacity Statistics 2019. Abu Dhabi. Available at https://www.irena.org/publications/2019/Mar/Renewable-Capacity-Statistics-2019 [Accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit25"><label>25</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">IPCC (2013a). In: Stocker T.F., Qin D., Plattner G.-K., Tignor M., Allen S.K., Boschung J., Nauels A., Xia Y., Bex V., Midgley P.M. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/ [Accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">IPCC (2013a). In: Stocker T.F., Qin D., Plattner G.-K., Tignor M., Allen S.K., Boschung J., Nauels A., Xia Y., Bex V., Midgley P.M. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/ [Accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit26"><label>26</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">IPCC (2013b). Annex I: atlas of global and regional climate projections. In: van Oldenborgh, G.J., Collins, M., Arblaster, J., Christensen, J.H., Marotzke, J., Power, S.B., Rummukainen, M., Zhou, T. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA (Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK). https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_AnnexI_FINAL-1.pdf [Accessed January 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">IPCC (2013b). Annex I: atlas of global and regional climate projections. In: van Oldenborgh, G.J., Collins, M., Arblaster, J., Christensen, J.H., Marotzke, J., Power, S.B., Rummukainen, M., Zhou, T. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA (Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK). https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_AnnexI_FINAL-1.pdf [Accessed January 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit27"><label>27</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">IPCC (2018). An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty, IPCC, Switzerland, 2018. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/06/SR15_Full_Report_High_Res.pdf [Accessed January 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">IPCC (2018). An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty, IPCC, Switzerland, 2018. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/06/SR15_Full_Report_High_Res.pdf [Accessed January 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit28"><label>28</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kottek M., Grieser J., Beck C., Rudolf B. and Rubel F. (2006) World Map of the Koppen-Geiger climate classification updated, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15(3), 259-263.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kottek M., Grieser J., Beck C., Rudolf B. and Rubel F. (2006) World Map of the Koppen-Geiger climate classification updated, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15(3), 259-263.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit29"><label>29</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Laprise R., Hernandez-Diaz L., Tete K., et al. (2013). Climate projections over CORDEX Africa domain using the fifth-generation Canadian regional climate model (CRCM5). Clim. Dyn. 41,3219e3246, DOI:10.1007/s00382-012-1651-2.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Laprise R., Hernandez-Diaz L., Tete K., et al. (2013). Climate projections over CORDEX Africa domain using the fifth-generation Canadian regional climate model (CRCM5). Clim. Dyn. 41,3219e3246, DOI:10.1007/s00382-012-1651-2.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit30"><label>30</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Lelieveld J., Hadjinicolaou P, Kostopoulou E., et al. (2012). Climate change and impacts in the eastern mediterranean and the Middle East. Climatic Change 114, 667e687, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0418-4.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lelieveld J., Hadjinicolaou P, Kostopoulou E., et al. (2012). Climate change and impacts in the eastern mediterranean and the Middle East. Climatic Change 114, 667e687, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0418-4.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit31"><label>31</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Lelieveld J., Proestos Y., Hadjinicolaou P., et al. (2016). Strongly increasing heat extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in the 21st century. Climatic Change, 137, 245e260, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1665-6.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lelieveld J., Proestos Y., Hadjinicolaou P., et al. (2016). Strongly increasing heat extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in the 21st century. Climatic Change, 137, 245e260, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1665-6.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit32"><label>32</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Mitchell T.D., Jones P.D. (2005). An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int. J. Climatol. 25(6), 693e712, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1181.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Mitchell T.D., Jones P.D. (2005). An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int. J. Climatol. 25(6), 693e712, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1181.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit33"><label>33</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Nazemosadat M.J., Cordery I. (2000). On the relationships between ENSO and autumn rainfall in Iran. Int J Climatol, 20, 47-61.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Nazemosadat M.J., Cordery I. (2000). On the relationships between ENSO and autumn rainfall in Iran. Int J Climatol, 20, 47-61.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit34"><label>34</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Onol B and Semazzi FHM. (2009). Regionalization of climate change simulations over the Eastern Mediterranean. J Clim, 22, 1944-1961.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Onol B and Semazzi FHM. (2009). Regionalization of climate change simulations over the Eastern Mediterranean. J Clim, 22, 1944-1961.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit35"><label>35</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Onol B., Bozkurt D., Turuncoglu U.U., Sen O.L., Dalfes H.N. (2014). Evaluation of the twenty-first century RCM simulations driven by multiple GCMs over the Eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea region. Clim Dyn, 42, 1949-1965.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Onol B., Bozkurt D., Turuncoglu U.U., Sen O.L., Dalfes H.N. (2014). Evaluation of the twenty-first century RCM simulations driven by multiple GCMs over the Eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea region. Clim Dyn, 42, 1949-1965.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit36"><label>36</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Pasicko, Robert et al. (2012). Assessment of climate change impacts on energy generation from renewable sources in Croatia, Renewable Energy 46 (2012) 224e231 (The rest of the authors' names).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Pasicko, Robert et al. (2012). Assessment of climate change impacts on energy generation from renewable sources in Croatia, Renewable Energy 46 (2012) 224e231 (The rest of the authors' names).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit37"><label>37</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Seneviratne S.I., Nicholls N., Easterling D., Goodess C.M., Kanae S., Kossin J., Luo Y., Marengo J., McInnes K., Rahimi M., Reichstein M., Sorteberg A., Vera C., Zhang X. (2016). Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Midgley PM, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 109-230.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Seneviratne S.I., Nicholls N., Easterling D., Goodess C.M., Kanae S., Kossin J., Luo Y., Marengo J., McInnes K., Rahimi M., Reichstein M., Sorteberg A., Vera C., Zhang X. (2016). Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Midgley PM, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 109-230.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit38"><label>38</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Sillmann J., Kharin V.V., Zwiers F.W., Zhang X., and Bronaugh D. (2013). Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 2: Future projections, J. Geophys. Res., (pp. 109-230), DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50188.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Sillmann J., Kharin V.V., Zwiers F.W., Zhang X., and Bronaugh D. (2013). Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 2: Future projections, J. Geophys. Res., (pp. 109-230), DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50188.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit39"><label>39</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Somot S., Sevault F., Deque M., Crepon M. (2008). 21st century climate change scenario for the Mediterranean using a coupled atmosphere-ocean regional climate model. Glob. Planet. Chang, 63(2), 112-126.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Somot S., Sevault F., Deque M., Crepon M. (2008). 21st century climate change scenario for the Mediterranean using a coupled atmosphere-ocean regional climate model. Glob. Planet. Chang, 63(2), 112-126.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit40"><label>40</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">UNEP (2015). Climate Change in the Arab Region. Regional Coordination Mechanism (RCM) Issues Brief for the Arab Sustainable Development Report. Available at http://css.escwa.org.lb/SDPD/3572/Goal13.pdf [Accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">UNEP (2015). Climate Change in the Arab Region. Regional Coordination Mechanism (RCM) Issues Brief for the Arab Sustainable Development Report. Available at http://css.escwa.org.lb/SDPD/3572/Goal13.pdf [Accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit41"><label>41</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">UN ESCWA (2015e). Survey of Economic and Social Development in the Arab Region 2014-2015. Available at https://www.unescwa.org/publications/survey-economic-and-socialdevelopment-arab-region-2014-2015 [Accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">UN ESCWA (2015e). Survey of Economic and Social Development in the Arab Region 2014-2015. Available at https://www.unescwa.org/publications/survey-economic-and-socialdevelopment-arab-region-2014-2015 [Accessed March 2019].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit42"><label>42</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">UN ESCWA (2016d). Arab Governance Report II: Governance and Institutional Transformations in Conflict-affected Arab Countries. Available at https://www.unescwa.org/publications/arabgovernance-Report-2016. [Accessed March 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">UN ESCWA (2016d). Arab Governance Report II: Governance and Institutional Transformations in Conflict-affected Arab Countries. Available at https://www.unescwa.org/publications/arabgovernance-Report-2016. [Accessed March 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit43"><label>43</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">World Bank (2014). Turn Down the Heat: Confronting the New Climate Normal. Washington, DC: World Bank. License: Creative Commons Attribution—Non Commercial—No Derivatives 3.0 IGO (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO). http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/317301468242098870/pdf/927040v20WP00O0ull0Report000English.pdf [Accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">World Bank (2014). Turn Down the Heat: Confronting the New Climate Normal. Washington, DC: World Bank. License: Creative Commons Attribution—Non Commercial—No Derivatives 3.0 IGO (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO). http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/317301468242098870/pdf/927040v20WP00O0ull0Report000English.pdf [Accessed January 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit44"><label>44</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">World Bank (2016a). Delivering Energy Efficiency in the Middle East and North Africa. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Washington DC, USA. Available at https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/25295/109023-WPP148222-PUBLIC-DeliveringEEinMENAMayEN.pdf?sequence=1&amp;isAllowed=y [A ccessed April 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">World Bank (2016a). Delivering Energy Efficiency in the Middle East and North Africa. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Washington DC, USA. Available at https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/25295/109023-WPP148222-PUBLIC-DeliveringEEinMENAMayEN.pdf?sequence=1&amp;isAllowed=y [A ccessed April 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit45"><label>45</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">World Bank (2017). Health, Nutrition and Population Statistics Database. Available at http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/healthnutrition-and-population-statistics [Accessed March 2020].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">World Bank (2017). Health, Nutrition and Population Statistics Database. Available at http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/healthnutrition-and-population-statistics [Accessed March 2020].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit46"><label>46</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Zittis G., Hadjinicolaou P. (2017). The effect of radiation parameterization schemes on surface temperature in regional climate simulations over the MENA-CORDEX domain. Int. J. Climatol, 37(10), 3847-3862.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Zittis G., Hadjinicolaou P. (2017). The effect of radiation parameterization schemes on surface temperature in regional climate simulations over the MENA-CORDEX domain. Int. J. Climatol, 37(10), 3847-3862.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
