gesjGEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITYGEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY2071-93882542-1565Russian Geographical Society10.24057/2071-9388-2019-180gesj-1322Research ArticleRESEARCH PAPERСтатьиDynamics Of Seasonal Patterns In Geochemical, Isotopic, And Meteorological Records Of The Elbrus Region Derived From Functional Data ClusteringChernyakovGleb A.

29 Staromonetniy lane, 119017, Moscow

glchern@igras.ruVitelliValeria

Department of Biostatistics

Sognsvannsveien  9, 0372, Oslo

AlexandrinMikhail Y.

29 Staromonetniy lane, 119017, Moscow

GrachevAlexei M.

29 Staromonetniy lane, 119017, Moscow

MikhalenkoVladimir N.

29 Staromonetniy lane, 119017, Moscow

KozachekAnna V.

38 Bering st., 199397, St. Petersburg

SolominaOlga N.

29 Staromonetniy lane, 119017, Moscow

MatskovskyV. V.

29 Staromonetniy lane, 119017, Moscow

Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of SciencesRussian FederationUniversity of OsloNorwayArctic and Antarctic Research InstituteRussian Federation202002102020133110116Copyright © Chernyakov G.A., Vitelli V., Alexandrin M.Y., Grachev A.M., Mikhalenko V.N., Kozachek A.V., Solomina O.N., Matskovsky V.V., 20202020Chernyakov G.A., Vitelli V., Alexandrin M.Y., Grachev A.M., Mikhalenko V.N., Kozachek A.V., Solomina O.N., Matskovsky V.V.Chernyakov G.A., Vitelli V., Alexandrin M.Y., Grachev A.M., Mikhalenko V.N., Kozachek A.V., Solomina O.N., Matskovsky V.V.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/1322

A nonparametric clustering method, the Bagging Voronoi K-Medoid Alignment algorithm, which simultaneously clusters and aligns spatially/temporally dependent  curves,  is applied to study various data series from the Elbrus  region (Central Caucasus). We used the algorithm to cluster annual curves obtained by smoothing of the following synchronous data series: titanium concentrations in varved (annually laminated) bottom sediments of proglacial  Lake Donguz-Orun;  an oxygen-18 isotope record in an ice core from Mt. Elbrus; temperature and precipitation observations with a monthly resolution from Teberda and Terskol meteorological stations. The data of different types were clustered independently. Due to restrictions concerned with the availability of meteorological data, we have fulfilled the clustering procedure separately for two periods: 1926–2010 and 1951–2010. The study is aimed to determine whether the instrumental period could be reasonably divided (clustered)  into several sub-periods using different climate and proxy time series; to examine the interpretability of the resulting borders of the clusters (resulting time periods); to study typical patterns of intra-annual variations of the data series. The results of clustering suggest that the precipitation and to a lesser degree titanium decadal-scale data may be reasonably grouped, while the temperature and oxygen-18 series are too short to form meaningful clusters; the intercluster boundaries show a notable degree of coherence between temperature and oxygen-18 data, and less between titanium and oxygen-18 as well as for precipitation series; the annual curves for titanium and partially precipitation data reveal much more pronounced intercluster  variability than the annual patterns of temperature and oxygen-18 data.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.