gesjGEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITYGEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY2071-93882542-1565Russian Geographical Society10.24057/2071-9388-2019-97gesj-1188Research ArticleRESEARCH PAPERСтатьиAnalyzing and forecasting ambient air quality of Chennai city in IndiaNadeemImran

Department of Mathematics

GST Road Vandalur 600048, Chennai

malikimrannadeem218@gmail.comIlyasAshiq M.

Department of Mathematics

GST Road Vandalur 600048, Chennai

UdumanP.S. Sheik

Department of Mathematics

GST Road Vandalur 600048, Chennai

B.S Abdur Rahman Crescent Institute of Science and TechnologyIndia2020100720201331321Copyright © Nadeem I., Ilyas A.M., Uduman P.S., 20202020Nadeem I., Ilyas A.M., Uduman P.S.Nadeem I., Ilyas A.M., Uduman P.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/1188

Regardless of the existing governmental and public preventive actions for surveillance and controlling the air quality in several regions of the Chennai city in India, the air quality does not meet the desired standard. In this regard, this study employs an ARMA/ARIMA modelling approach for forecasting Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter (RSPM), Sulphur dioxide (SO2) and Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentration for three most polluted sites in Chennai city. A total of nine univariate linear stochastic models have been developed, three for each of the stations which includes one for each of the specific pollutants in order to forecasts the concentration of each pollutant. The evaluation of the model statistics R2 values and index of agreement values evince that a significant level of real-time forecasting of the pollutants can be achieved by employing the developed ARMA/ARIMA models. Moreover, the comparisons of actual air pollutant concentration have been carried out with the permissible limit as prescribed by the National ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) of India for assessing the level of pollution of all three locations.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.