<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gesj</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2071-9388</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-1565</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Geographical Society</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24057/2071-9388-2014-7-3-22-28</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gesj-10</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>GEOGRAPHY</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>География</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>VIETNAMESE MIGRATION IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title></trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lukyanetz</surname><given-names>Artem S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">artem_ispr@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Toan</surname><given-names>Nguyen Canh</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">okabc007@yahoo.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pismennaya</surname><given-names>Elena E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">nikitaR@list.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ryazantsev</surname><given-names>Sergei V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">riazan@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tikunov</surname><given-names>Vladimir S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">tikunov@geogr.msu.su</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Hai</surname><given-names>Pham Hoang</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">phhoanghai@yahoo.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-1"><institution>Center for Social Demography and Economic Sociology (Institute for Socio-Political Studies)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-2"><institution>Institute for European Studies, VASS</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-3"><institution>Department of Theoretical Sociology, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-4"><institution>Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en" id="aff-5"><institution>Institute of Geography VAST</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2014</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>01</day><month>09</month><year>2014</year></pub-date><volume>7</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>4</fpage><lpage>21</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Lukyanetz A.S., Toan N.C., Pismennaya E.E., Ryazantsev S.V., Tikunov V.S., Hai P.H., 2014</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Lukyanetz A.S., Toan N.C., Pismennaya E.E., Ryazantsev S.V., Tikunov V.S., Hai P.H.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Lukyanetz A.S., Toan N.C., Pismennaya E.E., Ryazantsev S.V., Tikunov V.S., Hai P.H.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/10">https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/10</self-uri><abstract><p>The paper examines emigration from Vietnam in the context of global climate change. Vietnam is among the five countries, most vulnerable to water level rise in the oceans associated with global warming. The areas of potential flooding include territories with most dense population and are extremity important for the economy of Vietnam. The country has a significant demographic potential exceeding 90 mln people. Vietnamese migration has a relatively long history. Large Vietnamese communities have grown in the countries of Eastern Europe; these communities are relatively well integrated into the host countries. Increase in global mean temperatures could lead to severe storms, tsunamis, and flooding and force significant portion of the population out of the Mekong Delta regions and Central provinces of Vietnam. The paper discusses the potential of Atlas Information Systems (AISs) for the assessment of social-economic and demographic consequences of climate change in Vietnam. The authors describe an AIS they are developing. This AIS consists of blocks that provide for a close link between socio-political, economic (production), natural resource, and environmental components for the integrated assessment of the provinces of Vietnam. Simulation of events shows that the flood zone could affect such populated provinces as An Giang, Kien Giang, Hau Giang, Dong Thap, Long An, Tien Giang, Vinh Long and Can Tho. To address this problem, the Vietnamese authorities, in 2008, approved the state target program to respond to climate change. The Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment was commissioned to create a scenario of climate change and sea level rise in Vietnam. However, the problem requires an immediate response at the international level, as the threat cannot be localized within the borders of Vietnam. Flooding may require mandatory relocation of the population in the country and, possibly, beyond its borders. If people are not relocated gradually, a reduction in the country’s territory with high population density, considering the specifics of the settlement pattern and reproduction trends, could result in a significant migration flow of forced migrants - environmental refugees. The territory of Vietnam may not be sufficient to absorb the entire flow of immigrants and, as a result, the flow would be directed out of the country. However, if the resettlement program starts now in the form of organized labor migration, it may be possible to anticipate and mitigate the negative scenario. Besides, organized labor emigration would be even beneficial for Vietnam in the socio-economic respect. The paper suggests measures to improve Russia’s migration policy aimed at attracting and using Vietnamese workers in a regulated way that would benefit Russia socially and economically.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Vietnam</kwd><kwd>emigration</kwd><kwd>global warming</kwd><kwd>Vietnamese communities in host countries</kwd><kwd>Atlas Information Systems</kwd><kwd>Eastern Europe</kwd><kwd>Russia</kwd><kwd>migration policy</kwd><kwd>integration</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">BRICS Joint Statistical Publication 2011 (http://ru.worldstat.info/Asia/Viet_nam ) Climate change, Sea level rise scenarios for Vietnam, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE), Viet Nam, 2009 (http://preventionweb.net/go/11348) Disasters have been exposed, Viet Nam Net Online Newspaper (http://english.vietnamnet.vn/fms/special-reports/96662/disasters-have-been-exposed.html)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">BRICS Joint Statistical Publication 2011 (http://ru.worldstat.info/Asia/Viet_nam ) Climate change, Sea level rise scenarios for Vietnam, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE), Viet Nam, 2009 (http://preventionweb.net/go/11348) Disasters have been exposed, Viet Nam Net Online Newspaper (http://english.vietnamnet.vn/fms/special-reports/96662/disasters-have-been-exposed.html)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Doyle T.W., Day R.H. and Michot T.C., Development of sea level rise scenarios for climate change assessments of the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, US Geological Survey, Open-File, Report 2010-1165, 2010.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Doyle T.W., Day R.H. and Michot T.C., Development of sea level rise scenarios for climate change assessments of the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, US Geological Survey, Open-File, Report 2010-1165, 2010.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Faleev, M.I. Improved protection of population and territories with the experience of dealing with large scale catastrophes and natural disasters // Civil Protection Strategy: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/sovershenstvovanie-zaschity-naseleniya-i-territoriy-s-uchetom-opyta-preodoleniya-krupnomasshtabnyh-katastrof-i-stihiynyh-bedstviy) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Faleev, M.I. Improved protection of population and territories with the experience of dealing with large scale catastrophes and natural disasters // Civil Protection Strategy: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/sovershenstvovanie-zaschity-naseleniya-i-territoriy-s-uchetom-opyta-preodoleniya-krupnomasshtabnyh-katastrof-i-stihiynyh-bedstviy) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Izmalkov, V.I. Trends in global climate change and its effect on increasing the number of natural disasters, catastrophes, and their possible consequences // Civil Protection Strategy: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tendentsii-globalnogo-izmeneniya-klimata-zemli-i-ego-vliyanie-na-uvelichenie-kolichestva-stihi-ynyh-bedstviy-katastrof-i-ih-vozmozhnye) (Date of application: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Izmalkov, V.I. Trends in global climate change and its effect on increasing the number of natural disasters, catastrophes, and their possible consequences // Civil Protection Strategy: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tendentsii-globalnogo-izmeneniya-klimata-zemli-i-ego-vliyanie-na-uvelichenie-kolichestva-stihi-ynyh-bedstviy-katastrof-i-ih-vozmozhnye) (Date of application: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kraak M. J., Ormeling, F. Cartography: Visualization of geospatial data. Translated from English. V.S.Tikunov (Ed.). - Moscow, Scientific World, 2005, 325 p.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kraak M. J., Ormeling, F. Cartography: Visualization of geospatial data. Translated from English. V.S.Tikunov (Ed.). - Moscow, Scientific World, 2005, 325 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kuznetsov, N.G., Ryazantsev, S.V. The ways to use migration potential of Vietnam in Russian (article, part 1) // Asia and Africa today. - № 6, 2011 - pp. 36-42.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kuznetsov, N.G., Ryazantsev, S.V. The ways to use migration potential of Vietnam in Russian (article, part 1) // Asia and Africa today. - № 6, 2011 - pp. 36-42.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kuznetsov, N.G., Ryazantsev, S.V. The ways to use migration potential of Vietnam in Russian (article, part 1) // Asia and Africa today. - № 6, 2011 - pp. 33-35.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kuznetsov, N.G., Ryazantsev, S.V. The ways to use migration potential of Vietnam in Russian (article, part 1) // Asia and Africa today. - № 6, 2011 - pp. 33-35.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Labor and Employment in Russia 2011: Statistical Yearbook. - M.: Rosstat, 2011.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Labor and Employment in Russia 2011: Statistical Yearbook. - M.: Rosstat, 2011.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Migration and Remittances Factbook 2011. The World Bank. 2011.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Migration and Remittances Factbook 2011. The World Bank. 2011.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Nguyen, Huu Ninh, Flooding in Mekong River Delta, Viet Nam, Human Development Report 2007-2008 (http://www.tiempocyberclimate.org/annex/cered/HDR07.pdf)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Nguyen, Huu Ninh, Flooding in Mekong River Delta, Viet Nam, Human Development Report 2007-2008 (http://www.tiempocyberclimate.org/annex/cered/HDR07.pdf)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Nigmetov, G.M., Filatov, Y.A., Pchelkin, V.I., Yuzbekov, N.S. The growth trend of catastrophic floods on the territory of the Russian Federation // Technologies of civil security. - 2003, № 1-2 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tendentsiya-rosta-katastroficheskih-navod-neniy-na-territorii-rossiyskoy-federatsii) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Nigmetov, G.M., Filatov, Y.A., Pchelkin, V.I., Yuzbekov, N.S. The growth trend of catastrophic floods on the territory of the Russian Federation // Technologies of civil security. - 2003, № 1-2 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tendentsiya-rosta-katastroficheskih-navod-neniy-na-territorii-rossiyskoy-federatsii) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ormeling F. Atlas Information Systems - 17th Int. Cartogr. Conf. and 10th Gen. Assembly ICA. Barcelona, Sept. 3rd - 9th, 1995. Proceedings, vol. 2, Barcelona, 1995, pp. 2127-2133.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ormeling F. Atlas Information Systems - 17th Int. Cartogr. Conf. and 10th Gen. Assembly ICA. Barcelona, Sept. 3rd - 9th, 1995. Proceedings, vol. 2, Barcelona, 1995, pp. 2127-2133.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ryazantsev, S.V. Labor migration in the CIS and Baltic countries: trends, implications, and regulation. M. Formula Prava, 2007.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ryazantsev, S.V. Labor migration in the CIS and Baltic countries: trends, implications, and regulation. M. Formula Prava, 2007.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ryazantsev, S.V. Trafficking for labor exploitation and illegal labor migration in the Russian Federation: the forms, trends, and resistance: A report in the framework of the project “ADSTRINGO”. - Stockholm, 2013.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ryazantsev, S.V. Trafficking for labor exploitation and illegal labor migration in the Russian Federation: the forms, trends, and resistance: A report in the framework of the project “ADSTRINGO”. - Stockholm, 2013.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ryazantsev, S.V., Manshin, R.V., Nguen, Canh Toan. Comparative analysis of the Vietnamese and Chinese migration to Russia // Immigration Law. 2013, № 1.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ryazantsev, S.V., Manshin, R.V., Nguen, Canh Toan. Comparative analysis of the Vietnamese and Chinese migration to Russia // Immigration Law. 2013, № 1.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit16"><label>16</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2011, United Nations Publication, № E-11-II-F-1, 2011.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2011, United Nations Publication, № E-11-II-F-1, 2011.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit17"><label>17</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">The ways to organize and protect migrant workers in agriculture and related industries. Geneva: International Union of Food, Agricultural, Agriculture, Hotel, Restaurant, Catering and Allied Workers. Geneva 2008 (www.fpkk.ru/text/migrantsbook.pdf) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">The ways to organize and protect migrant workers in agriculture and related industries. Geneva: International Union of Food, Agricultural, Agriculture, Hotel, Restaurant, Catering and Allied Workers. Geneva 2008 (www.fpkk.ru/text/migrantsbook.pdf) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit18"><label>18</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Tikunov, V.S. Yanvareva, L.F. Atlas information systems - the basis for the adoption of integrated solutions for the organization of the territory. - In: Digital Earth, Electronic Russia, Electronic Moscow: Methodology and Technology, Moscow, IPI RAN, 2002, pp. 46-52.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Tikunov, V.S. Yanvareva, L.F. Atlas information systems - the basis for the adoption of integrated solutions for the organization of the territory. - In: Digital Earth, Electronic Russia, Electronic Moscow: Methodology and Technology, Moscow, IPI RAN, 2002, pp. 46-52.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit19"><label>19</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Vietnam - Economics of adaptation to climate change, Washington DC, World Bank, 2010 (http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/16441103/vietnam - economics - adaptation-climate-change)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Vietnam - Economics of adaptation to climate change, Washington DC, World Bank, 2010 (http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/16441103/vietnam - economics - adaptation-climate-change)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit20"><label>20</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Vladimirov, V.A. Disasters and socio-economic development strategy // Civil Protection: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/katastrofy-i-sotsialno-ekonomicheskoe-razvitie) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Vladimirov, V.A. Disasters and socio-economic development strategy // Civil Protection: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/katastrofy-i-sotsialno-ekonomicheskoe-razvitie) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit21"><label>21</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Vladimirov, V.A., Dolgin, N.N., Makeev, V.A. Global issues as a source of emergency // Civil Protection Strategy: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/globalnye-problemy-kak-istochnik-chrezvychaynyh-situatsiy) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Vladimirov, V.A., Dolgin, N.N., Makeev, V.A. Global issues as a source of emergency // Civil Protection Strategy: Issues and research. - 2012, № 1 (http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/globalnye-problemy-kak-istochnik-chrezvychaynyh-situatsiy) (Viewed: 29.06.2014).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
